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Red74
923721.9
920824.5
171834.2
Blue75
213725.5
835214.0
89425.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81702040601001201407475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#15
34.20.0
27.427.5
Auto12.6
Teleop19.3
End2.3
red by 8.6
2137
#11
25.50.7
25.826.5
Auto7.3
Teleop13.3
End4.9
Second
9208
#30
24.50.0
23.723.7
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End3.1
blue by 0.5
894
#16
25.00.7
25.326.0
Auto7.3
Teleop15.4
End2.4
Third
9237
#27
21.90.0
20.620.7
Auto7.1
Teleop12.8
End2.0
red by 7.9
8352
#29
14.00.7
13.714.4
Auto5.6
Teleop6.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsEarned