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Red89
20118.6
6734.0
262023.3
Blue79
118933.7
171124.4
22628.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7997501502008979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#3
34.01.0
37.638.6
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End4.5
red by 0.3
1189
#13
33.70.5
31.030.5
Auto11.2
Teleop20.3
End2.2
Second
2620
#26
23.31.0
22.423.5
Auto7.8
Teleop13.4
End2.1
blue by 5.2
226
#25
28.50.5
28.528.1
Auto14.5
Teleop12.2
End1.8
Third
201
#33
18.61.0
13.514.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.1
End3.3
blue by 5.8
1711
#32
24.40.5
26.426.0
Auto6.8
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed