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Red74
654824.1
717823.9
766021.3
Blue72
262023.3
102529.0
920824.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72852040601001201401607472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6548
#10
24.10.5
24.925.4
Auto8.5
Teleop12.3
End3.3
blue by 4.9
1025
#28
29.00.6
27.927.3
Auto10.6
Teleop13.2
End5.2
Second
7178
#34
23.90.5
22.923.4
Auto9.3
Teleop12.7
End1.9
blue by 0.6
9208
#30
24.50.6
25.424.8
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End3.1
Third
21.30.5
18.919.4
Auto8.3
Teleop9.3
End3.7
blue by 2.0
2620
#26
23.30.6
22.221.7
Auto7.8
Teleop13.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsEarned51%Ensemble oddsMissed