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Red112
957214.8
276744.1
931233.7
Blue84
10723.4
600224.7
214529.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10077406012014016018011284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.11.3
43.244.5
Auto16.2
Teleop21.9
End5.9
red by 14.8
2145
#17
29.30.8
22.823.6
Auto10.1
Teleop16.8
End2.4
Second
33.71.3
31.032.3
Auto12.1
Teleop19.0
End2.6
red by 9.0
6002
#20
24.70.8
26.827.6
Auto8.4
Teleop11.3
End5.1
Third
9572
#37
14.81.3
13.614.9
Auto7.1
Teleop6.5
End1.2
blue by 8.7
107
#19
23.40.8
22.923.7
Auto9.7
Teleop11.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsEarned58%Ensemble oddsEarned