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Red104
207542.5
609035.0
376729.5
Blue108
335741.2
553424.6
118933.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11710750150200104108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.50.4
41.741.3
Auto13.8
Teleop24.0
End4.8
red by 1.3
41.20.6
40.441.1
Auto10.8
Teleop26.8
End3.6
Second
6090
#14
35.00.4
36.836.4
Auto11.3
Teleop20.1
End3.6
red by 1.4
1189
#13
33.70.6
32.933.6
Auto11.2
Teleop20.3
End2.2
Third
29.50.4
26.526.1
Auto8.4
Teleop18.8
End2.3
red by 4.9
24.60.6
25.025.6
Auto6.5
Teleop15.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
54%Ensemble oddsEarned56%Ensemble oddsMissed