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Red61
835214.0
150216.6
923721.9
Blue101
716622.1
360431.3
171124.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions609220408010012014061101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9237
#27
21.90.1
23.323.2
Auto7.1
Teleop12.8
End2.0
blue by 9.4
3604
#35
31.30.8
34.134.9
Auto11.1
Teleop16.8
End3.3
Second
1502
#39
16.60.1
16.916.8
Auto6.3
Teleop9.6
End0.8
blue by 7.8
1711
#32
24.40.8
24.725.5
Auto6.8
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Third
8352
#29
14.00.1
17.917.9
Auto5.6
Teleop6.7
End1.8
blue by 8.0
7166
#12
22.10.8
20.521.2
Auto6.9
Teleop13.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed