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Red114
553424.6
171834.2
214529.3
Blue88
609035.0
102529.0
213725.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83105020406012014016011488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#15
34.21.8
30.832.6
Auto12.6
Teleop19.3
End2.3
blue by 0.9
6090
#14
35.00.3
36.736.4
Auto11.3
Teleop20.1
End3.6
Second
2145
#17
29.31.8
24.226.0
Auto10.1
Teleop16.8
End2.4
red by 0.3
1025
#28
29.00.3
27.727.4
Auto10.6
Teleop13.2
End5.2
Third
24.61.8
22.824.6
Auto6.5
Teleop15.3
End2.8
blue by 1.0
2137
#11
25.50.3
27.927.6
Auto7.3
Teleop13.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsEarned71%Ensemble oddsEarned