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Red65
86226.7
171124.4
835214.0
Blue97
778224.1
20118.6
207542.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768740601001206597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#21
26.71.0
27.426.4
Auto7.6
Teleop17.4
End1.7
blue by 15.8
42.51.3
40.141.4
Auto13.8
Teleop24.0
End4.8
Second
1711
#32
24.41.0
25.624.6
Auto6.8
Teleop16.4
End1.3
red by 0.4
7782
#22
24.11.3
20.922.2
Auto9.8
Teleop13.1
End1.1
Third
8352
#29
14.01.0
17.016.0
Auto5.6
Teleop6.7
End1.8
blue by 4.5
201
#33
18.61.3
16.217.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned29%Ensemble oddsMissed