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Red56
600224.7
661819.9
22628.5
Blue74
654824.1
716622.1
477931.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8688506070801001101205674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#25
28.51.7
29.227.4
Auto14.5
Teleop12.2
End1.8
blue by 3.2
31.70.3
32.732.4
Auto8.0
Teleop20.5
End3.2
Second
6002
#20
24.71.7
26.324.6
Auto8.4
Teleop11.3
End5.1
red by 0.7
6548
#10
24.10.3
24.724.3
Auto8.5
Teleop12.3
End3.3
Third
6618
#36
19.91.7
22.220.5
Auto10.1
Teleop7.6
End2.2
blue by 2.2
7166
#12
22.10.3
21.721.3
Auto6.9
Teleop13.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsMissed96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsEarned