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Red93
10723.4
360328.9
118933.7
Blue74
612125.3
360431.3
717823.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9289204060801001201409374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#13
33.70.3
32.833.1
Auto11.2
Teleop20.3
End2.2
red by 2.4
3604
#35
31.30.7
32.131.3
Auto11.1
Teleop16.8
End3.3
Second
3603
#23
28.90.3
27.527.9
Auto12.3
Teleop15.3
End1.3
red by 3.5
6121
#24
25.30.7
24.724.0
Auto8.7
Teleop13.7
End2.9
Third
107
#19
23.40.3
22.823.1
Auto9.7
Teleop11.7
End2.0
blue by 0.5
7178
#34
23.90.7
23.823.1
Auto9.3
Teleop12.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsMissed