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Red84
118933.7
516631.0
957214.8
Blue72
171124.4
10723.4
717823.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions847840601001201408472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#13
33.70.6
32.533.0
Auto11.2
Teleop20.3
End2.2
red by 9.3
1711
#32
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto6.8
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Second
5166
#18
31.00.6
29.029.6
Auto12.1
Teleop15.8
End3.1
red by 7.1
7178
#34
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto9.3
Teleop12.7
End1.9
Third
9572
#37
14.80.6
14.214.8
Auto7.1
Teleop6.5
End1.2
blue by 8.7
107
#19
23.40.0
23.323.4
Auto9.7
Teleop11.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsEarned84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed