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Red70
817913.3
778224.1
553424.6
Blue67
766021.3
22628.5
150216.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66720204060801001207067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.5
24.424.9
Auto6.5
Teleop15.3
End2.8
blue by 4.0
226
#25
28.50.2
27.827.9
Auto14.5
Teleop12.2
End1.8
Second
7782
#22
24.10.5
23.624.1
Auto9.8
Teleop13.1
End1.1
red by 2.8
21.30.2
20.420.5
Auto8.3
Teleop9.3
End3.7
Third
8179
#38
13.30.5
12.813.3
Auto6.4
Teleop6.3
End0.6
blue by 3.4
1502
#39
16.60.2
16.516.6
Auto6.3
Teleop9.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed37%Ensemble oddsMissed