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Red105
6734.0
213725.5
276744.1
Blue118
477931.7
360328.9
609035.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12110750150200105118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.10.4
45.444.9
Auto16.2
Teleop21.9
End5.9
red by 9.0
6090
#14
35.00.3
35.936.2
Auto11.3
Teleop20.1
End3.6
Second
67
#3
34.00.4
35.334.9
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End4.5
red by 2.3
31.70.3
32.632.9
Auto8.0
Teleop20.5
End3.2
Third
2137
#11
25.50.4
26.826.4
Auto7.3
Teleop13.3
End4.9
blue by 3.3
3603
#23
28.90.3
29.730.0
Auto12.3
Teleop15.3
End1.3