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Red108
207542.5
10723.4
335741.2
Blue129
516631.0
214529.3
376729.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1229250150200108129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.50.0
42.442.4
Auto13.8
Teleop24.0
End4.8
red by 11.5
5166
#18
31.00.8
30.130.9
Auto12.1
Teleop15.8
End3.1
Second
41.20.0
41.141.1
Auto10.8
Teleop26.8
End3.6
red by 11.8
29.50.8
28.629.4
Auto8.4
Teleop18.8
End2.3
Third
107
#19
23.40.0
23.323.3
Auto9.7
Teleop11.7
End2.0
blue by 5.8
2145
#17
29.30.8
28.429.2
Auto10.1
Teleop16.8
End2.4