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Red42
60965.7
609912.9
557721.7
Blue16
653210.5
71459.0
66163.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46300204060801001204216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.1
19.419.5
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End1.2
red by 11.2
10.51.2
15.113.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.1
End0.3
Second
6099
#11
12.90.1
15.015.1
Auto6.5
Teleop5.2
End1.2
red by 3.9
7145
#15
9.01.2
9.98.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End1.0
Third
5.70.1
5.75.8
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End0.6
red by 2.3
6616
#17
3.41.2
4.63.3
Auto2.3
Teleop0.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed