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Red43
222413.8
719615.6
51975.7
Blue8
20486.9
26739.2
47582.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3428020406080100438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.60.8
9.810.7
Auto7.0
Teleop8.5
End0.1
red by 6.5
2673
#12
9.21.2
13.512.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.7
End1.5
Second
13.80.8
10.511.4
Auto3.4
Teleop9.4
End1.0
red by 6.8
2048
#16
6.91.2
7.76.5
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End0.9
Third
5197
#22
5.70.8
10.110.9
Auto1.8
Teleop3.3
End0.6
red by 3.7
4758
#23
2.01.2
5.13.9
Auto0.7
Teleop0.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed