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Red20
47582.0
60965.7
363210.9
Blue46
66163.4
26739.2
12323.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2041060801002046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.90.3
10.610.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.1
End1.5
blue by 12.7
123
#5
23.60.1
21.021.0
Auto10.4
Teleop11.3
End1.9
Second
5.70.3
5.75.4
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End0.6
blue by 3.5
2673
#12
9.20.1
10.610.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.7
End1.5
Third
4758
#23
2.00.3
3.93.6
Auto0.7
Teleop0.6
End0.8
blue by 1.3
6616
#17
3.40.1
3.23.3
Auto2.3
Teleop0.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed