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Red20
590115.7
20486.9
30964.8
Blue25
83529.5
653210.5
719615.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264102060802025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.70.7
13.813.1
Auto5.9
Teleop8.4
End1.4
Level
15.60.7
12.111.4
Auto7.0
Teleop8.5
End0.1
Second
2048
#16
6.90.7
6.55.8
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End0.9
blue by 3.6
10.50.7
11.811.1
Auto3.1
Teleop7.1
End0.3
Third
3096
#19
4.80.7
5.14.4
Auto2.4
Teleop1.9
End0.5
blue by 4.7
8352
#20
9.50.7
11.610.9
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed