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Red25
43907.2
609912.9
51975.7
Blue43
170125.7
57568.4
222413.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295902040801002543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6099
#11
12.90.3
13.613.3
Auto6.5
Teleop5.2
End1.2
blue by 12.8
1701
#10
25.70.5
29.228.7
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End1.0
Second
4390
#18
7.20.3
8.17.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
blue by 6.6
13.80.5
10.910.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.4
End1.0
Third
5197
#22
5.70.3
8.38.0
Auto1.8
Teleop3.3
End0.6
blue by 2.7
5756
#14
8.40.5
9.89.4
Auto2.7
Teleop4.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed