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Red9
26739.2
48543.3
Blue35
828011.6
71459.0
60965.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18260103040506070935

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2673
#12
9.20.5
10.710.1
Auto4.0
Teleop3.7
End1.5
blue by 2.5
11.60.7
7.68.3
Auto4.4
Teleop5.3
End1.9
Second
6.40.9
3.32.4
Auto0.7
Teleop4.7
End1.1
blue by 2.6
7145
#15
9.00.7
9.710.4
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End1.0
Third
4854
#13
3.30.5
3.12.6
Auto0.4
Teleop2.1
End0.7
blue by 2.4
5.70.7
5.46.1
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed