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Red6
57568.4
66163.4
51975.7
Blue40
12323.6
43907.2
653210.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20480406080100640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5756
#14
8.41.0
9.48.3
Auto2.7
Teleop4.4
End1.3
blue by 15.2
123
#5
23.60.3
20.820.5
Auto10.4
Teleop11.3
End1.9
Second
5197
#22
5.71.0
8.06.9
Auto1.8
Teleop3.3
End0.6
blue by 4.8
10.50.3
11.110.8
Auto3.1
Teleop7.1
End0.3
Third
6616
#17
3.41.0
3.92.9
Auto2.3
Teleop0.6
End0.4
blue by 3.8
4390
#18
7.20.3
7.87.5
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed