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Red50
557721.7
47582.0
170125.7
Blue13
20486.9
88993.7
609912.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions662204060801001205013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#10
25.70.7
28.728.0
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End1.0
red by 12.8
6099
#11
12.90.8
13.312.5
Auto6.5
Teleop5.2
End1.2
Second
21.70.7
22.021.2
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End1.2
red by 14.8
2048
#16
6.90.8
5.85.1
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End0.9
Third
4758
#23
2.00.7
3.42.7
Auto0.7
Teleop0.6
End0.8
blue by 1.7
8899
#24
3.70.8
5.54.7
Auto3.5
Teleop-0.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed