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Red30
653210.5
47582.0
609912.9
Blue52
12323.6
20486.9
57568.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2739010205060703052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6099
#11
12.90.1
12.512.7
Auto6.5
Teleop5.2
End1.2
blue by 10.7
123
#5
23.60.5
20.521.0
Auto10.4
Teleop11.3
End1.9
Second
10.50.1
10.811.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.1
End0.3
red by 2.1
5756
#14
8.40.5
8.38.9
Auto2.7
Teleop4.4
End1.3
Third
4758
#23
2.00.1
2.72.8
Auto0.7
Teleop0.6
End0.8
blue by 4.9
2048
#16
6.90.5
5.15.6
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed