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Red37
51975.7
557721.7
83529.5
Blue6
48543.3
66163.4
43907.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions488020406080376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.1
21.221.1
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End1.2
red by 14.5
4390
#18
7.20.4
7.57.0
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Second
8352
#20
9.50.1
10.410.3
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End1.2
red by 6.1
6616
#17
3.40.4
2.92.5
Auto2.3
Teleop0.6
End0.4
Third
5197
#22
5.70.1
6.96.8
Auto1.8
Teleop3.3
End0.6
red by 2.4
4854
#13
3.30.4
2.11.6
Auto0.4
Teleop2.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed2%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed