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Red36
48543.3
12323.6
828011.6
Blue7
43907.2
88993.7
30964.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40260206080367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#5
23.60.4
21.521.1
Auto10.4
Teleop11.3
End1.9
red by 16.4
4390
#18
7.21.2
8.67.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Second
11.60.4
7.36.9
Auto4.4
Teleop5.3
End1.9
red by 6.9
3096
#19
4.81.2
8.47.2
Auto2.4
Teleop1.9
End0.5
Third
4854
#13
3.30.4
5.55.2
Auto0.4
Teleop2.1
End0.7
blue by 0.4
8899
#24
3.71.2
8.47.2
Auto3.5
Teleop-0.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed