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Red57
719615.6
557721.7
71459.0
Blue14
653210.5
51975.7
26739.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434102060805714

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.71.2
19.520.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End1.2
red by 11.2
10.51.7
13.912.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.1
End0.3
Second
15.61.2
10.711.9
Auto7.0
Teleop8.5
End0.1
red by 6.5
2673
#12
9.21.7
12.210.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.7
End1.5
Third
7145
#15
9.01.2
8.69.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End1.0
red by 3.3
5197
#22
5.71.7
10.99.3
Auto1.8
Teleop3.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed