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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2222051015253035402313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.20.1
11.811.9
Auto6.5
Teleop9.0
End0.6
red by 9.1
5695
#17
7.10.6
5.54.9
Auto3.2
Teleop2.3
End1.6
Second
5532
#37
6.60.1
3.53.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End0.2
red by 0.6
5642
#15
6.00.6
7.36.7
Auto3.0
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Third
6096
#19
5.70.1
4.64.7
Auto3.4
Teleop1.2
End1.1
red by 0.6
4758
#38
5.10.6
6.86.2
Auto1.8
Teleop2.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed