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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48250102030406070806217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#4
23.80.8
21.722.4
Auto11.3
Teleop10.2
End2.3
red by 10.0
3302
#31
13.80.5
9.08.5
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Second
7692
#28
13.70.8
12.112.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.4
End1.7
red by 2.9
4680
#18
10.80.5
7.16.6
Auto2.9
Teleop6.8
End1.1
Third
10.90.8
6.97.6
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End1.6
red by 5.4
4854
#20
5.50.5
8.98.3
Auto1.6
Teleop2.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed