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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3737354045503154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4405
#10
23.70.6
15.915.3
Auto9.9
Teleop12.1
End1.8
red by 3.7
20.11.0
15.016.1
Auto9.2
Teleop8.9
End1.9
Second
4851
#24
11.70.6
9.48.8
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End0.9
blue by 2.0
8352
#26
13.71.0
11.312.4
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Third
5214
#39
7.70.6
8.37.7
Auto2.8
Teleop2.9
End2.0
blue by 4.9
12.51.0
6.98.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned