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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393630404550555539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#1
29.71.2
19.420.7
Auto8.3
Teleop18.8
End2.6
blue by 2.2
31.90.4
22.723.1
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End1.6
Second
5901
#11
17.91.2
11.712.9
Auto7.8
Teleop9.2
End1.0
red by 9.5
8899
#27
8.40.4
4.95.3
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End0.3
Third
9727
#36
3.91.2
3.44.6
Auto2.2
Teleop1.5
End0.2
blue by 4.0
7856
#35
7.80.4
5.15.5
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed