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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2934010204050603364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6152
#13
17.90.1
16.016.1
Auto6.1
Teleop10.4
End1.4
red by 4.2
13.70.5
8.78.1
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
Second
9744
#34
9.40.1
4.95.0
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End1.9
blue by 4.1
2673
#22
13.50.5
10.19.7
Auto6.1
Teleop5.0
End2.4
Third
8362
#29
5.00.1
5.75.8
Auto2.9
Teleop1.1
End1.0
blue by 7.5
7224
#30
12.40.5
11.511.0
Auto7.7
Teleop3.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned