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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2830202535403235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.10.1
10.110.1
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End0.6
red by 0.9
8280
#12
14.20.6
12.713.2
Auto7.5
Teleop5.0
End1.8
Second
4390
#32
8.60.1
6.97.0
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End0.7
blue by 3.9
7716
#21
12.50.6
10.210.8
Auto6.2
Teleop5.1
End1.3
Third
5619
#33
5.60.1
8.98.9
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End1.2
red by 1.0
7865
#25
4.60.6
3.84.4
Auto2.1
Teleop1.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed