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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234704060801003533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4768
#14
14.80.1
10.210.3
Auto6.0
Teleop7.1
End1.8
blue by 9.0
123
#4
23.80.4
22.422.0
Auto11.3
Teleop10.2
End2.3
Second
2591
#23
9.10.1
8.58.6
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End1.1
blue by 3.2
3632
#16
12.30.4
9.18.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End1.7
Third
5695
#17
7.10.1
4.95.0
Auto3.2
Teleop2.3
End1.6
red by 1.1
6190
#40
6.00.5
7.87.4
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed