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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2155040801001273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4851
#24
11.70.8
8.88.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End0.9
blue by 20.2
31.91.8
23.124.9
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End1.6
Second
4854
#20
5.50.8
8.37.6
Auto1.6
Teleop2.8
End1.1
blue by 14.5
20.11.8
16.117.9
Auto9.2
Teleop8.9
End1.9
Third
4758
#38
5.10.8
6.25.4
Auto1.8
Teleop2.2
End1.1
blue by 1.0
5642
#15
6.01.8
6.78.5
Auto3.0
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed