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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331904060803921

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5901
#11
17.90.7
12.913.6
Auto7.8
Teleop9.2
End1.0
red by 4.5
2673
#22
13.50.2
9.79.5
Auto6.1
Teleop5.0
End2.4
Second
12.50.7
8.08.7
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.7
red by 5.9
5532
#37
6.60.2
3.63.4
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End0.2
Third
5214
#39
7.70.7
7.78.4
Auto2.8
Teleop2.9
End2.0
red by 2.7
8362
#29
5.00.2
5.85.6
Auto2.9
Teleop1.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed