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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173204060802538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4390
#32
8.60.1
7.06.8
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End0.7
blue by 7.5
16.20.4
11.912.3
Auto6.5
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Second
7856
#35
7.80.1
5.55.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End1.1
blue by 4.7
7716
#21
12.50.4
10.811.2
Auto6.2
Teleop5.1
End1.3
Third
7865
#25
4.60.1
4.44.2
Auto2.1
Teleop1.8
End0.7
red by 0.7
9727
#36
3.90.4
4.65.0
Auto2.2
Teleop1.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed