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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions492404060801006644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#1
29.71.3
20.722.0
Auto8.3
Teleop18.8
End2.6
red by 14.9
4768
#14
14.81.1
10.311.4
Auto6.0
Teleop7.1
End1.8
Second
6152
#13
17.91.3
16.117.4
Auto6.1
Teleop10.4
End1.4
red by 4.2
13.71.1
8.19.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
Third
6096
#19
5.71.3
4.76.0
Auto3.4
Teleop1.2
End1.1
blue by 5.1
4680
#18
10.81.1
6.67.7
Auto2.9
Teleop6.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed