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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35330204060805555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4405
#10
23.7
Auto9.9
Teleop12.1
End1.8
red by 8.6
15.1
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End0.6
Second
3302
#31
13.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End1.7
red by 1.4
7224
#30
12.4
Auto7.7
Teleop3.0
End1.8
Third
6190
#40
6.0
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.8
blue by 3.0
2591
#23
9.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsEarned