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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28300102040506070802017

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3632
#16
12.30.4
8.68.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End1.7
blue by 5.6
5901
#11
17.90.9
13.612.7
Auto7.8
Teleop9.2
End1.0
Second
5214
#39
7.70.4
8.48.0
Auto2.8
Teleop2.9
End2.0
red by 2.0
5619
#33
5.60.9
8.98.0
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End1.2
Third
5642
#15
6.00.4
8.58.2
Auto3.0
Teleop2.1
End0.9
red by 1.4
7865
#25
4.60.9
4.23.3
Auto2.1
Teleop1.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed