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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50130204060804614

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#4
23.80.3
22.022.4
Auto11.3
Teleop10.2
End2.3
red by 12.2
4851
#24
11.70.2
8.07.9
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End0.9
Second
7716
#21
12.50.3
11.211.5
Auto6.2
Teleop5.1
End1.3
red by 5.4
5695
#17
7.10.2
5.04.8
Auto3.2
Teleop2.3
End1.6
Third
4854
#20
5.50.3
7.67.9
Auto1.6
Teleop2.8
End1.1
blue by 1.1
5532
#37
6.60.2
3.43.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed