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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402502060806618

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.11.1
17.919.0
Auto9.2
Teleop8.9
End1.9
red by 3.9
16.20.4
12.311.8
Auto6.5
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Second
10.91.1
9.010.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End1.6
red by 2.3
4390
#32
8.60.4
6.86.4
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End0.7
Third
4680
#18
10.81.1
7.78.8
Auto2.9
Teleop6.8
End1.1
red by 5.8
8362
#29
5.00.4
5.65.1
Auto2.9
Teleop1.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed