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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26290204060801003020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3302
#31
13.80.3
8.58.7
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End1.7
red by 0.1
7692
#28
13.70.4
13.413.0
Auto3.6
Teleop8.4
End1.7
Second
13.70.3
9.39.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
red by 5.8
7856
#35
7.80.4
5.45.0
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End1.1
Third
6096
#19
5.70.3
6.06.3
Auto3.4
Teleop1.2
End1.1
blue by 0.3
6190
#40
6.00.4
7.47.0
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed