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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53280204060801005345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#1
29.70.5
22.022.5
Auto8.3
Teleop18.8
End2.6
red by 14.9
4768
#14
14.81.1
11.412.5
Auto6.0
Teleop7.1
End1.8
Second
8280
#12
14.20.5
14.615.1
Auto7.5
Teleop5.0
End1.8
red by 1.8
7224
#30
12.41.1
11.012.1
Auto7.7
Teleop3.0
End1.8
Third
12.50.5
8.79.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.7
red by 3.2
9744
#34
9.41.1
6.37.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed