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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54300204060801004919

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.5
24.924.4
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End1.6
red by 14.0
6152
#13
17.90.8
17.416.6
Auto6.1
Teleop10.4
End1.4
Second
8352
#26
13.70.5
12.912.5
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End1.9
red by 8.0
5619
#33
5.60.8
8.07.3
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End1.2
Third
2591
#23
9.10.5
8.68.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End1.1
red by 5.2
9727
#36
3.90.8
5.04.3
Auto2.2
Teleop1.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed