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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2327010204050602623

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5642
#15
6.00.7
8.27.5
Auto3.0
Teleop2.1
End0.9
blue by 6.5
7716
#21
12.50.5
11.511.0
Auto6.2
Teleop5.1
End1.3
Second
4854
#20
5.50.7
7.97.2
Auto1.6
Teleop2.8
End1.1
blue by 3.1
4390
#32
8.60.5
6.45.8
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End0.7
Third
8362
#29
5.00.7
5.14.5
Auto2.9
Teleop1.1
End1.0
blue by 0.8
6096
#19
5.70.5
6.35.7
Auto3.4
Teleop1.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed