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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35270204060803537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.10.1
19.019.1
Auto9.2
Teleop8.9
End1.9
red by 6.4
7692
#28
13.70.6
13.013.6
Auto3.6
Teleop8.4
End1.7
Second
5695
#17
7.10.1
4.85.0
Auto3.2
Teleop2.3
End1.6
blue by 5.4
12.50.6
9.29.8
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.7
Third
6190
#40
6.00.1
7.07.1
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.8
red by 1.4
7865
#25
4.60.6
3.33.9
Auto2.1
Teleop1.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed