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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34322025303540454435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5901
#11
17.90.9
12.713.6
Auto7.8
Teleop9.2
End1.0
red by 4.1
3302
#31
13.80.1
8.78.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Second
4768
#14
14.80.9
12.513.4
Auto6.0
Teleop7.1
End1.8
red by 1.2
8352
#26
13.70.1
12.512.5
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Third
7856
#35
7.80.9
5.05.9
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End1.1
red by 0.2
5214
#39
7.70.1
8.08.1
Auto2.8
Teleop2.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed