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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1842060801002461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.70.3
9.59.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
blue by 0.5
8280
#12
14.20.7
15.115.8
Auto7.5
Teleop5.0
End1.8
Second
4758
#38
5.10.3
5.65.9
Auto1.8
Teleop2.2
End1.1
blue by 7.4
7224
#30
12.40.7
12.112.8
Auto7.7
Teleop3.0
End1.8
Third
9727
#36
3.90.3
4.34.6
Auto2.2
Teleop1.5
End0.2
blue by 7.8
4851
#24
11.70.7
7.98.6
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed