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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483502060801001206338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.4
24.424.8
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End1.6
red by 8.2
4405
#10
23.70.3
18.118.4
Auto9.9
Teleop12.1
End1.8
Second
10.90.4
10.110.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End1.6
red by 0.1
4680
#18
10.80.3
8.89.2
Auto2.9
Teleop6.8
End1.1
Third
5619
#33
5.60.4
7.37.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End1.2
blue by 2.8
8899
#27
8.40.3
6.06.3
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed