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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36682060801001203669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6152
#13
17.90.0
16.616.6
Auto6.1
Teleop10.4
End1.4
blue by 11.8
862
#1
29.70.7
22.523.2
Auto8.3
Teleop18.8
End2.6
Second
16.20.0
11.811.8
Auto6.5
Teleop9.0
End0.6
blue by 7.6
123
#4
23.80.7
22.423.1
Auto11.3
Teleop10.2
End2.3
Third
2591
#23
9.10.0
8.18.0
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End1.1
blue by 6.0
15.10.7
13.013.7
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed